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Wednesday, 27 January 2016

Oil Prices Up Then Down As Traders Book Profits

Commodity Tips
Oil prices shot up after Russia indicated there was a possibility of co-operation with OPEC, fanning hopes for a deal to reduce a global oversupply that sent prices to the lowest levels in over a dozen years last week. A statement from Russia's energy ministry said that they would be willing to speak with OPEC, moments after the head of Russia's pipeline monopoly said officials have decided they should talk to Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members about output cuts. The top non-OPEC producer, Russia has in the past been unwilling to cut oil output, as it battles for market share with OPEC output leader Saudi Arabia.

Crude fell in Asia trade Thursday as the market shifted attention back to oversupply concerns, after prices were briefly supported by speculation that large producers may be inching closer to a collective cut.

But falls were curbed by a weaker dollar following the Federal Reserve's decision to keep its overnight interest rate unchanged and the release of a statement suggesting concern about global events had diminished but not squashed chances of a rate hike in March.

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CRUDE OIL NEWS- 27 Jan 2016

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil recovered on hopes of some sort of a production cut by OPEC and non-OPEC members.Hopes of a production cut by Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s largest producer, dimmed early this week after the chairman of Saudi Arabian Oil Co., or Saudi Aramco, said Monday his country could weather the low prices for “a long, long time.”

 CRUDE OIL API INVENTORY REPORT:

Actual  11.400M   Forecast   3.500M  Previous  4.600M

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Tuesday, 26 January 2016

CS AGRI CALL- 27 Jan 2016

CS AGRI CALL

SELL SOYABEAN FEB BELOW  3720 
TG 3700 , 3680 , 3660 

SL 3750

SELL TURMARIC APR BELOW  8150 
TG 8110 , 8070 , 8030 

SL 8220

SELL RMSEED  APR BELOW  3820 
TG 3800 , 3780 , 3760 

SL 3850


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CS INVENTORY CALL: SELL CRUDE OIL FEB AROUND 2160- 27 Jan 2016

CS INVENTORY CALL

SELL CRUDE OIL FEB AROUND 2160
TG 2120 , 2080 , 2040
SL 2235

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CS BASE METAL CALL: SELL ALUMINIUM JAN BELOW 101.60- 27 Jan 2016

CS BASE METAL CALL

SELL ALUMINIUM JAN BELOW 101.60
TG 101.10 , 100.60 , 100.10
SL 102.40

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CS ENERGY PREMIUM CALL: SELL NATURAL GAS FEB BELOW 145- 27 Jan 2016

CS ENERGY PREMIUM CALL

SELL NATURAL GAS FEB BELOW 145 
TG 143 , 141 , 139 
SL 149


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Monday, 25 January 2016

Crude Oil Prices Jump Over 20% But It Is A Rally?

Gold Traders To Ignore Federal Reserve Meeting,  Gold closed a volatile week at 1098.10 as it spent the week wrestling with the all-important $1100 price but seemed unable to hold above as the bears continue to dominate the marketplace. As expected this morning in the Asian session gold is trading at 1101.00 adding $4.70 as the US dollar eased. Gold prices will most likely reverse gains as the European markets begin to open.

This week traders will be carefully monitoring the Federal Reserve decision and statement due on Wednesday. The bank is not expected to take any action and the markets generally expect that the statement will remain pretty close to its previous wording and give no indications to a March increase of pass. Also this week traders will hear from Governor Wheeler from New Zealand and no one is sure what to expect there. And the other biggie this week will be the Bank of Japan on Friday. None of these decisions are expected to have any major change in precious metals.

Gold prices have had a difficult time trading and closing above 1100.0 per ounce in 2016 with two of the reasons for the failure are that gold premiums in China have only risen slightly in 2016 while sellers in India has offered discounts amid poor demand.

Crude Oil Prices Jump Over 20% But It Is A Rally?  

1. Equities soared on Friday as oil prices rallied. Crude oil gained over 20% on Thursday and Friday and for no real fundamental reasons. It seems that speculators are preparing for a pump and dump. Worrisome news from Libya stoked the markets giving speculators all they needed to push up prices which had been trading near 12 year lows.

A report from Platt’s seemed to give traders a second reason to rally. The report showed that production from OPEC fell by 130,000 barrels a day in December from a month earlier, to 32.28 million barrels a day, according to a Platt’s survey of OPEC oil industry officials and analysts released Friday. Platt’s attributed the decline to output cuts in Iraq, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. The Saudis lowered output by 50,000 barrels a day to 10.1 million barrels a day, but haven't given any indication that they are ready to abandon the "market-share strategy that it persuaded OPEC to adopt in November 2014," Platt’s said..

2. Greece's biggest oil refiner Hellenic Petroleum agreed on Friday to buy crude oil from the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), the first European refiner to restart trade relations with Iran after the lifting of international sanctions.

3. The third spike in the rally came from deteriorating weather conditions in the US where a winter snowstorm covering the Southeast moving north dropping record amounts of snow and bring cold temperatures in its track, increasing demands for heating oil. Heating oil gained 0.82% this morning trading at 1.0158 while natural gas rallied to 2.158 up by 0.77% as Stormzilla abated.

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