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Showing posts with label Nifty Future Call. Show all posts
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Wednesday 13 June 2018

MCX MORNING NEWS UPDATES - 14 jun 2018


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Gold Prices Rise As Dollar Pares Gains -   

Gold prices were higher on Thursday, rising above the $1,300 level as the dollar lost the momentum from a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Gold prices are denominated in U.S. dollars, so the movement of the U.S. dollar index impacts the gold price. On Thursday, the U.S. dollar index that measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies was down 0.03% to 93.53, giving up gains despite a promising outlook for the U.S. economy. The Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points to a range of 1.75% to 2% and hinted at two more rate hikes later in the year, instead of only one previously. This would mean four rate hikes this year. Gold investors continued to eye the rate hike decision for signs that the dollar go on an upswing. A firmer U.S. dollar makes dollar-denominated assets such as gold more expensive for foreign buyers, and vice versa.

Operating rate at secondary lead smelters down 3.98 percentage points in May - 

The operating rate across China's secondary lead smelters stood at 59.9% in May, down 3.98 percentage points from April, but up 24.6 percentage points from last year, SMM surveyed.  Stricter environmental probes by the central government from May accounted for the month on month decline. Most unlicensed small smelters were ordered to shut, and some qualified, large smelters saw their output affected by environmental cuts, SMM learned.  China’s output of secondary lead registered 100,900 mt in May, down 6,700 mt from April and up 41,400 mt from last year, SMM data showed. Operating rates across secondary lead smelters in June is likely to remain flat from May as environmental inspections continue, SMM expects.

Aluminium inventory dips for six straight weeks on fewer deliveries - 

China's inventory of primary aluminium, including SHFE warrants, shrank 53,000 mt from last Thursday to stand at 1.92 million mt as of Thursday June 14, SMM data showed. Despite torrential downpours in Guangdong province during last weekend, overall inventory declined on the week due to fewer deliveries to warehouses in northwest China. The drop marked a sixth consecutive week of decline.

Oil prices fall as U.S. crude production hits another record - 

Oil prices eased on Thursday, dragged down by rising output, although strong demand and a drop in U.S. fuel inventories provided the market with some support.Prices were pulled down by another rise in U.S. oil production , which hit a weekly record of 10.9 million barrels per day (bpd) last week, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday. U.S. crude output has risen by almost 30 percent in the last two years, and it is now close to top global producer Russia, which produced 11.1 million bpd overall in the first two weeks of June. But the rising output came amid strong demand, which traders said prevented crude prices from falling further. U.S. consumption of gasoline in the United States rose to an historic high of 9.88 million bpd last week, according to the EIA.

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Thursday 31 May 2018

CS OPENING BELL 1 June 2018


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CS OPENING BELL:

NIFTY SPOT UP 24 @ 10760
SENSEX UP 61 @ 35383
BANK NIFTY FUTURES UP  123 @ 26850

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CS NIFTY FUTURES (MAY ) OVERVIEW

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RES2: 10850
RES 1:10790
SUP1:10660
SUP2:10580

CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (MAY ) OVERVIEW

TREND BULLISH
RES 2: 27200
RES 1: 26990
SUP1: 26520
SUP2: 26340

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Friday 25 May 2018

Fed Officials signal June hike and caution on inflation progress 26 May 2018



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Inflation rose at the committee’s targeted pace of a 2% annual rate in March, yet officials were cautious on whether that was sustainable given that prices had been mostly below that goal for the past six years.

Federal Reserve officials signaled they are set to raise interest rates at their meeting in June, but sent no clear message on whether they’d hike one or two more times this year following that move.

U.S. central bankers said “it would likely soon be appropriate” to increase the benchmark policy rate, according to a record of their May 1-2 meeting released Wednesday, confirming investor expectations for a move next month. Beyond that, officials “expressed a range of views on the amount of further policy firming that would likely be required.”

“It seems like they couldn’t agree on anything beyond the next meeting,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont Securities LLC in New York. “They’re really, truly going to be taking this one meeting at a time.”

Inflation rose at the committee’s targeted pace of a 2% annual rate in March, yet officials were cautious on whether that was sustainable given that prices had been mostly below that goal for the past six years.

“It was noted that it was premature to conclude that inflation would remain at levels around 2%, especially after several years in which inflation had persistently run below the committee’s 2% objective,” the minutes said.  The commentary was somewhat unusual given the data in hand: unemployment at the lowest level in 17 years, wages gradually moving higher and the economic expansion apparently on a firm footing.

“There was very little concern about overheating and inflation overshooting too much,” said Julia Coronado, president of Macropolicy Perspectives LLC in New York. “There was more concern that the recent progress cannot be sustained.”

March forecasts by the Federal Open Market Committee showed the committee split between three and four hikes this year, excluding three outliers. That outlook will be updated at the FOMC’s June 12-13 meeting, after which Chairman Jerome Powell holds a press conference.

As noted in their May 2 statement, which inserted a second reference to their “symmetric” inflation target, the committee said it wouldn’t be concerned if inflation overshot the target.

A temporary period of inflation “modestly above 2% would be consistent with the committee’s symmetric inflation objective and could be helpful in anchoring longer-run inflation expectations,” the minutes said.

“They could have sounded a lot more optimistic about the economy, and confirmed expectations for four increases this year, but they didn’t do that,” said Michael Hanson, chief U.S. macro strategist at TD Securities in New York. “This is a committee that feels like it has been head-faked one too many times on inflation.”

Since the May meeting, the dollar has continued to strengthen, oil prices are higher, and 30-year mortgage rates have also moved up. Tightening U.S. financial conditions have been felt sharply in some emerging markets, with Argentine and Turkish currencies retreating sharply.

Fed officials have little foresight into what exiting from post-crisis, ultra-easy monetary policy will mean for the U.S. economy -- let alone the rest of the world -- and that may be one reason why they are reluctant to look beyond the next meeting.

“The closer you get to a normal monetary policy, the less agreement you’re going to have about continuing to slog along,” Stanley said. “I’m a little bit surprised that that discussion seems to be drawing so much disagreement already.”


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Tuesday 22 May 2018

CAPITALSTARS OPENING BELL - 23 May 2018


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CS OPENING BELL


NIFTY SPOT DOWN 19 @ 10517
SENSEX DOWN 49 @ 34602
BANK NIFTY FUTURES DOWN  52 @ 25765


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CS NIFTY FUTURES (MAY ) OVERVIEW

TREND BEARISH
RES2: 10690
RES 1:10600
SUP1:10455
SUP2:10365


CS BANK NIFTY FUTURES (MAY ) OVERVIEW

TREND BEARISH
RES 2: 26135
RES 1: 26030
SUP1: 25600
SUP2: 25480

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Monday 21 May 2018

Nifty likely to open flat, Asia opens lower; SBI, IOC, Cipla in focus - 22 MAY 2018



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Indian Indices:                               

The Nifty50 is expected to open flat-to-negative on Tuesday following muted trend seen in other Asian markets. The index closed 79 points lower at 10,516 on Monday. Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 27 points, or 0.26 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,515 on the Singaporean Stock Exchange. Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a negative opening for the broader index in India, a fall of 27 points, or 0.26 percent. Nifty futures were trading around 10,515 on the Singaporean Exchange.


Global Market:

• Asian markets- The Nikkei 225 Index is presently unchanged. The stock markets in Hong Kong and Shanghai are closed at this time.

• US Markets: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 298.2 points, or 1.21 percent, to 25,013.29, the S&P 500 gained 20.04 points, or 0.74 percent, to 2,733.01, and the Nasdaq Composite added 39.70 points, or 0.54 percent, to 7,394.04

• European markets- European markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The FTSE 100 gained 1.03% and the CAC 40 rose 0.41%. The DAX lost 0.28%.


Major Headlines of the day:

• DHFL to raise up to Rs 12K cr; NCD issue opens tomorrow

• Just Dial Q4: Net profit was up 53% at Rs 39 crore and revenue was 10.3% at Rs 200.5 crore

• Astrazeneca Pharma Q4: Net profit was at Rs 3.2 crore against the loss of Rs 9.6 crore

• Mahanagar Gas Q4: Net Profit rose 5% at Rs 105 crore and revenue was 11.7% at Rs 587 crore

• DLF Q4: Net profit was up 70.5% at Rs 243.3 crore and Revenue was down 38% at Rs 1,377.7 crore

• Motilal Oswal Q4: Net Profit rose 64% at Rs 147.6 crore and Revenue was up 42.8% at Rs 752.1 crore

• Globus Spirits Q4: Net profit was down at Rs 1.4 crore and Revenue was at Rs 424.1 crore

Trend in FII flows:-  

The FIIs were Net Value of Rs  -496.03 in the cash segment MONDAY while the DIIs were Net Value of Rs 1190.56 as per the provisional figures.


TODAY ON EARNING FRONT:-   BOSCH, L&T TECHNOLOGIES, DR REDDYS LAB, SYMPHONY, BATA INDIA, BATA FORGE, CIPLA, DHANUKA AGRITEC, VIP INDUSTRIES, SONATA, HPCL, SBI, KOICL, IOC, ALL CARGO.


Securities in Ban For Trade Date 22-MAY-2018 :- 

1. Balrampur Chini, 
2. DHFL, 
3. Jet Airways, 
4. Just Dial, 
5. PC Jeweller, 
6. Reliance Communications, and 
7. Wockhardt  

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