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Showing posts with label Commodity Tips. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Commodity Tips. Show all posts

Sunday, 17 June 2018

MCX MORNING NEWS - 18 june 2018

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Gold prices slumped to three-week lows as disappointed speculators liquidated long positions despite fresh trade skirmishes between the United States and China -   

Gold on MCX settled down -1.17% at 31010 as disappointed speculators liquidated long positions despite fresh trade skirmishes between the United States and China. Gold deepened losses after President Donald Trump announced that the United States will implement a 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of goods from China and Beijing quickly said it would hit back with its own tariffs. There was some support in gold prices after the European Central Bank (ECB) policy announcement struck a decidedly dovish tone, as expected. The ECB also announced it would halt bond purchases and would phase out the economic stimulus by the end of the year. The central bank also said it would keep its interest rates unchanged at least through the summer of 2019. Gold discounts in India were at their widest in nine months this week as higher domestic prices tempered retail purchases, while buying in other Asian centers remained subdued amid a lack of significant momentum in global prices. 

Copper prices slid on concerns over demand in China and as investors reacted to U.S. tariffs on China and a selloff in oil - 

Copper on MCX settled down -1.59% at 473.9 on concerns over demand in China and as investors reacted to U.S. tariffs on China and a selloff in oil. China’s industrial output, investment and retail sales all grew less than expected, offsetting upbeat trade data and suggesting further weakness ahead if Beijing sustains its crackdown on factory pollution and local government spending. China’s economy is finally starting to cool under the weight of a multi-year crackdown on riskier lending that is pushing up borrowing costs for companies and consumers, with data pointing to a broad slowdown in activity in May. While slower Chinese growth suggested lower demand, China’s output of 10 non-ferrous metals including copper, aluminium, lead, zinc and nickel rose 4.3 percent in May from a year earlier to 4.55 million tonnes. Aluminium production was up 1.5 percent at 2.79 million tonnes. 

U.S. oil slumps as China threatens duty on U.S. crude imports - 

U.S. oil prices slumped on Monday after China threatened duties on American crude imports in an escalating trade dispute with Washington.In an escalating spat over the American trade deficit with most of its major trading partners, including China, U.S. President Donald Trump last week pushed ahead with hefty tariffs on $50 billion of Chinese imports, starting on July 6. China on Friday said it would retaliate by slapping duties on American export products, including crude oil. This was in response to reports that top suppliers Saudi Arabia and Russia would likely increase production. The producer cartel of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which is de-facto led by Saudi Arabia, and some allies including Russia have been withholding output since the start of 2017. They will meet in Vienna on June 22 to decide forward production policy.

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Wednesday, 13 June 2018

MCX MORNING NEWS UPDATES - 14 jun 2018


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Gold Prices Rise As Dollar Pares Gains -   

Gold prices were higher on Thursday, rising above the $1,300 level as the dollar lost the momentum from a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Gold prices are denominated in U.S. dollars, so the movement of the U.S. dollar index impacts the gold price. On Thursday, the U.S. dollar index that measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies was down 0.03% to 93.53, giving up gains despite a promising outlook for the U.S. economy. The Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points to a range of 1.75% to 2% and hinted at two more rate hikes later in the year, instead of only one previously. This would mean four rate hikes this year. Gold investors continued to eye the rate hike decision for signs that the dollar go on an upswing. A firmer U.S. dollar makes dollar-denominated assets such as gold more expensive for foreign buyers, and vice versa.

Operating rate at secondary lead smelters down 3.98 percentage points in May - 

The operating rate across China's secondary lead smelters stood at 59.9% in May, down 3.98 percentage points from April, but up 24.6 percentage points from last year, SMM surveyed.  Stricter environmental probes by the central government from May accounted for the month on month decline. Most unlicensed small smelters were ordered to shut, and some qualified, large smelters saw their output affected by environmental cuts, SMM learned.  China’s output of secondary lead registered 100,900 mt in May, down 6,700 mt from April and up 41,400 mt from last year, SMM data showed. Operating rates across secondary lead smelters in June is likely to remain flat from May as environmental inspections continue, SMM expects.

Aluminium inventory dips for six straight weeks on fewer deliveries - 

China's inventory of primary aluminium, including SHFE warrants, shrank 53,000 mt from last Thursday to stand at 1.92 million mt as of Thursday June 14, SMM data showed. Despite torrential downpours in Guangdong province during last weekend, overall inventory declined on the week due to fewer deliveries to warehouses in northwest China. The drop marked a sixth consecutive week of decline.

Oil prices fall as U.S. crude production hits another record - 

Oil prices eased on Thursday, dragged down by rising output, although strong demand and a drop in U.S. fuel inventories provided the market with some support.Prices were pulled down by another rise in U.S. oil production , which hit a weekly record of 10.9 million barrels per day (bpd) last week, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday. U.S. crude output has risen by almost 30 percent in the last two years, and it is now close to top global producer Russia, which produced 11.1 million bpd overall in the first two weeks of June. But the rising output came amid strong demand, which traders said prevented crude prices from falling further. U.S. consumption of gasoline in the United States rose to an historic high of 9.88 million bpd last week, according to the EIA.

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Tuesday, 12 June 2018

Portfolio check: ICICI Prudential AMC is betting on this mega trend - 13 jun

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Midcaps are relatively overvalued than largecaps and what really worked for broader market in the past 2-3 years was fall in commodity prices as well as crude oil prices. But, the trend is fast emerging and is slowly shifting towards largecaps.


After a stellar rally in 2017, it is unlikely that 2018 will produce a similar return thanks to many macro headwinds such as rising crude oil prices and interest rates globally, S Naren, CIO, ICICI Prudential AMC, said, adding there are enough reasons for volatility to dominate markets in the next 12-18 months.

Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Naren said he prefers largecaps over midcaps and smallcaps over the next few years. “Midcaps are relatively overvalued than largecaps. In the past 2-3 years, fall in commodity prices as well as crude oil prices really worked for the broader market. But the trend is fast emerging and is slowly shifting towards largecaps.”

He sees the next mega trend emerging in healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and diagnostics. This despite the sector not doing much in the last 2-3 years. Explaining his rationale, Naren said, “As the whole world becomes older, it will help pharma companies. We think see it as one of the big megatrends for the next 20-30 years. Current prices offer investors the comfort of valuations and a good entry point.”

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