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Showing posts with label Commodity Calls. Commodity Trading Tips. Show all posts
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Thursday 14 June 2018

MCX MORNING NEWS UPDATES- 15 jun 2018

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Gold gained as the dollar fell and investors fretted over weak Chinese data and U.S.-China trade frictions -   Gold on MCX settled up 0.75% at 31377 gained on fresh buying while support seen as Comex Gold climbed to the highest close in a month rose 0.60% to $1,304 per troy ounce as traders turned their attention from central \banks to geopolitical tension. Traders piled into safe-haven gold on expectations the United States will impose tariffs on $50 billion worth of Chinese imports on Friday, raising the prospect of retaliation from the Beijing, threatening a tit-for-tat trade war between the world's largest two economies. The list – that will be subject to a levy – is expected to include between 800 and 900 products, well below the original list of about 1,300 products published by the U.S. Trade Representative in April, CNBC reported, citing three sources familiar with the matter. President Donald Trump reserves the final decision on whether to impose tariffs.

Copper remained under pressure after a slew of Chinese data including industrial output pointed to weaker-than expected activity last month in China - Copper on MCX settled down -0.72% at 481.55 on long liquidation with the market set for its biggest weekly decline since late April on concerns over demand in top consumer China. For the week, LME copper has dropped 2.2 percent, the biggest weekly loss since the week ending April 27. The Shanghai contract is down 1.2 percent, the most since the week ending March 23. The surging US dollar weighed on base metals overnight. While delivery approaches and price spread between SHFE front-month contracts narrowed to 150 yuan/mt, spot discounts lingered amid a low season of consumption. Shorts have yet to significantly add to their positions while longs are now keen to close out their bets.

Inflow of imported zinc to Shanghai drives up social inventory - Social inventory of zinc across Shanghai, Guangdong and Tianjin extended its increase over the week ended Friday June 15 as zinc imports continued to flow into Shanghai and as consumption remained weak, SMM data showed. As of June 15, zinc social inventory in Shanghai increased 10,000 mt from Monday to stand at 110,300 mt while inventory in Guangdong and Tianjin shrank 2,800 mt and 2,500 mt, respectively, on limited arrivals. This brought the overall inventory up 4,800 mt to 144,600 mt.

Oil Prices Little Changed Ahead of Key OPEC Meeting Next Week - Oil prices were little changed on Friday as investors were reluctant to take on large new positions ahead of a key OPEC meeting in Vienna next week.Movements in oil markets were expected to remain limited ahead of a meeting between producer cartel OPEC and some of its allies on June 22, as investors continued to fear OPEC could ease production curbs at its meeting to offset falling supplies in Venezuela and an expected drop in Iran oil exports as U.S. sanctions loom. "A wait-and-see approach is taking hold across the energy complex as market participants buckle down ahead of next week's crunch OPEC/non-OPEC meeting," said Stephen Brennock, analyst at London brokerage PVM Oil Associates.

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Wednesday 13 June 2018

MCX MORNING NEWS UPDATES - 14 jun 2018


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Gold Prices Rise As Dollar Pares Gains -   

Gold prices were higher on Thursday, rising above the $1,300 level as the dollar lost the momentum from a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Gold prices are denominated in U.S. dollars, so the movement of the U.S. dollar index impacts the gold price. On Thursday, the U.S. dollar index that measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six major currencies was down 0.03% to 93.53, giving up gains despite a promising outlook for the U.S. economy. The Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points to a range of 1.75% to 2% and hinted at two more rate hikes later in the year, instead of only one previously. This would mean four rate hikes this year. Gold investors continued to eye the rate hike decision for signs that the dollar go on an upswing. A firmer U.S. dollar makes dollar-denominated assets such as gold more expensive for foreign buyers, and vice versa.

Operating rate at secondary lead smelters down 3.98 percentage points in May - 

The operating rate across China's secondary lead smelters stood at 59.9% in May, down 3.98 percentage points from April, but up 24.6 percentage points from last year, SMM surveyed.  Stricter environmental probes by the central government from May accounted for the month on month decline. Most unlicensed small smelters were ordered to shut, and some qualified, large smelters saw their output affected by environmental cuts, SMM learned.  China’s output of secondary lead registered 100,900 mt in May, down 6,700 mt from April and up 41,400 mt from last year, SMM data showed. Operating rates across secondary lead smelters in June is likely to remain flat from May as environmental inspections continue, SMM expects.

Aluminium inventory dips for six straight weeks on fewer deliveries - 

China's inventory of primary aluminium, including SHFE warrants, shrank 53,000 mt from last Thursday to stand at 1.92 million mt as of Thursday June 14, SMM data showed. Despite torrential downpours in Guangdong province during last weekend, overall inventory declined on the week due to fewer deliveries to warehouses in northwest China. The drop marked a sixth consecutive week of decline.

Oil prices fall as U.S. crude production hits another record - 

Oil prices eased on Thursday, dragged down by rising output, although strong demand and a drop in U.S. fuel inventories provided the market with some support.Prices were pulled down by another rise in U.S. oil production , which hit a weekly record of 10.9 million barrels per day (bpd) last week, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday. U.S. crude output has risen by almost 30 percent in the last two years, and it is now close to top global producer Russia, which produced 11.1 million bpd overall in the first two weeks of June. But the rising output came amid strong demand, which traders said prevented crude prices from falling further. U.S. consumption of gasoline in the United States rose to an historic high of 9.88 million bpd last week, according to the EIA.

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Tuesday 12 June 2018

Portfolio check: ICICI Prudential AMC is betting on this mega trend - 13 jun

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Midcaps are relatively overvalued than largecaps and what really worked for broader market in the past 2-3 years was fall in commodity prices as well as crude oil prices. But, the trend is fast emerging and is slowly shifting towards largecaps.


After a stellar rally in 2017, it is unlikely that 2018 will produce a similar return thanks to many macro headwinds such as rising crude oil prices and interest rates globally, S Naren, CIO, ICICI Prudential AMC, said, adding there are enough reasons for volatility to dominate markets in the next 12-18 months.

Speaking to CNBC-TV18, Naren said he prefers largecaps over midcaps and smallcaps over the next few years. “Midcaps are relatively overvalued than largecaps. In the past 2-3 years, fall in commodity prices as well as crude oil prices really worked for the broader market. But the trend is fast emerging and is slowly shifting towards largecaps.”

He sees the next mega trend emerging in healthcare, pharmaceuticals, and diagnostics. This despite the sector not doing much in the last 2-3 years. Explaining his rationale, Naren said, “As the whole world becomes older, it will help pharma companies. We think see it as one of the big megatrends for the next 20-30 years. Current prices offer investors the comfort of valuations and a good entry point.”

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